Black Swan Portfolio

My Positive Black Swan Stocks: (last updated 6/16/18)

Fannie Mae (FNMA) & Freddie Mac (FMCC)
  - Resolution similar to the Moelis plan seems to be the most likely path
  - Moelis plan estimates $9.62 to $13.15 per share 15 months after implementation
  - I estimate that a Moelis-like plan, but with warrants cancelled yields $50 to $70 share prices
  - Bill Ackman powerpoint presentation (111 slides) estimates $23 per share via recapitalization thru retained earnings only


Watch List:

Intrexon (XON) - Bill Miller states that Intrexon has the potential to be the largest market cap company in history.

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